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Posted by Rod Speed on October 23, 2008, 10:26 pm
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>>> I have a question: Since deposits are liabilities and
>>> mortgages/loans are assets, then isn't a highly leveraged
>>> bank a *GOOD* tihng? Here are two examples:
>>> Bank A: It has $1M in total assets, of which $100K is
>>> equity, and $900K is in depositor's accounts which is
>>> a liability. The leveraged position here is 10x.
>>> Bank B: It has $1M in total assets, of which $500K is in equity, and
>>> $500K is in depositor's accounts which is a liability. The leveraged
>>> position here is 2x. However, this sounds like a stronger balance
>>> sheet, but keep in mind, they have far more in outstanding
>>> mortgages/ loans that they've financed. This is a bad thing.
>>> On the other hand, Bank A has far less in outstanding mortgages/loans,
>>> and therefore, they are less "margined" or leveraged.
>>> I'm confused. Which bank is in a better predicament, and
>>> what ratio would show that it's in a better predicament?
>> The problem with leverage has nothing to do with assets and liabilitys.
>> The problem is that leverage amplifys the penaltys
>> and benefits of correct financial decisions.
>> So if the mortgages are toxic debt in the sense that they will see a lot of
defaults, they
>> arent assets and become liabilitys when you cant get rid of the mortgaged
propertys.
> I totally understand the principle of leverage and how it accelerates
bankruptcy.
> My question arised after reading about American and European banks and their
capital structure on
> http://valtenbergs.com/archives/601
> They compared European banks, which had a very high leverage ratio
> when compared to American banks. However, I would think that a bank
> which has a lot of depositiors and very few borrowers is a more prudent bank.
Its not the number of each that matters, its the amount of money deposited and
lent.
> Of course, they probably aren't making much money.
Indeed.
> According to my calculations, the HIGHER the leverage ratio (i.e.
> (liabilities + equities)/(equities) ), the more solvent is the bank.
Thats not right.
> All depositors are liabilities, remember.
It much more complicated than that, particularly when runs on banks happen
because
the depositors have decided that you have a lot of toxic debt that you arent
admitting to.
> Moreover, assets is always equal to liab. + equities.
Its much more complicated than that too, particularly when you have to mark to
market.
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